NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds & Betting Predictions -

NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds & Betting Predictions

Derrick Henry opened as the favorite to win Comeback Player of the Year (CPOY) for the 2022-23 NFL season. His CPOY odds have remained around +300 to +350, implying he has a 22.22 to 25 percent chance of earning the award. Deshaun Watson is not too far behind at +500, followed by Jameis Winston at +550.

The subjectivity of the award makes it easy for opinions and the betting odds at sportsbooks to vary. As always, it’s a good idea to shop around for the best odds before betting, which also allows you to take advantage of generous welcome bonuses offered by online sportsbooks.

Updated NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

The following table contains a partial list of players listed with odds at DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel:

Comeback Player Of The Year Odds– 2022 DraftKings BetMGM Caesars FanDuel
Derrick Henry +300 +350 +350 +350
Deshaun Watson +500 +700 +700 +1600
Jameis Winston +550 +650 +600 +550
Michael Thomas +600 +900 +900 +900
Mitchell Trubisky +800 +1400 +1200 +1200
Daniel Jones +800 +750 +850 +900
Christian McCaffrey +750 +1000 +1200 +1000
Travis Etienne +1000 +3000 +2500 +3000
Cam Akers +1000 +2500 +1800 +2500
J.K. Dobbins +1100 +1600 +1600 +1600
Robert Woods +1200 +3000 +4000 +4000
Marcus Mariota +1200 +1200 +1200 +1200
Danielle Hunter +1200 +4000 +4000 +5000
Baker Mayfield +1400 +1600 +1500 +1400
Marcus Peters +1400 +4000 +4000 +4000
JuJu Smith Schuster +1400 +2000 +2500 +2500
Chase Young +1600 +2000 +1600
Will Fuller V +1400 +3000 +5000 +5000
Khalil Mack +1800 +2500
Allen Robinson III +2000 +2000 +2500 +2000

Few CPOY candidates have the opportunity to make an impact quite like Henry. The Tennessee offense did not look the same after Henry went down last season. As long as he can stay healthy, the Titans will feed him the ball.

He was on track to have back-to-back 2,000+ yard seasons last year (in part because of the 17th game). Should he pick up where he left off, it will take an incredible year for someone else to deserve the award more than him.

Early Movers And Shakers

Since betting opened on the 2022 CPOY, the odds have changed for several players:

Christian McCaffrey +1800 to +1000 (BetMGM)

McCaffrey’s talent and ability to make an impact are unquestionable. If he can remain healthy for most of the season, he could have an award-worthy season.

Deshaun Watson +700 to +1600 (FanDuel)

The embattled quarterback of the Cleveland Browns has seen his odds lengthen at all four of the sportsbooks in the above table, but the most significant jump was at FanDuel. With the number of civil lawsuits against him rising to 24 and some recent comments made by his lawyer, a lengthy suspension appears likely.

Baker Mayfield +1400 to +1600 (BetMGM)

Despite the clouds darkening around Watson, it would be nothing short of a miracle to see Baker Mayfield take the field again for the Browns (who signed Jacoby Brissett to back up Watson). Carolina and Seattle have been mentioned as potential landing spots for Mayfield, and should a team like the Panthers or Seahawks improve under him, he’ll see some CPOY love from voters. Mayfield is available for +2500 at BetRivers prices, qualifying him as a longshot candidate.

Jameis Winston +700 to +550 (FanDuel)

Winston showed some promise for the Saints last season, the first of the post-Drew Brees era, only to see his season cut short because of an injury. With Michael Thomas back in the lineup, Winston could explode this season — as long as he does not regress or get hurt again.

Sleeper Picks

Seven of the last eight CPOY winners had preseason odds of +1000 or shorter. The one outlier was Ryan Tannehill in 2019, who didn’t even have odds when the season began. So, while it doesn’t happen often, someone unexpected could emerge and win CPOY. But who? Let’s look at a few potential sleepers that could become contenders under the right conditions.

Since seven of the last eight were +1000 or shorter in the preseason, anyone offered at 10-to-1 odds or longer qualifies as a CPOY sleeper:

J.K Dobbins +1700 (PointsBet)

A 1,000+ yard season, which would put him in the running for CPOY, could be on the horizon for the Ravens back.

JuJu Smith-Schuster +2500 (FanDuel)

With Tyreek Hill no longer with the Chiefs, opportunity will be bountiful for Smith-Schuster. If he can take advantage, he could have the kind of year that wins awards.

Allen Robinson III +3000 (PointsBet)

Dismal quarterback play during Robinson’s time in Chicago made it hard for him to produce; injuries made it even harder last season. But this year, he’ll be playing with Matthew Stafford in a pass-friendly offense in Los Angeles.

Jeffrey Okudah +10000 (FanDuel)

The Lions DB is such a deep sleeper he’s practically in a coma. If he can come back healthy and start to live up to his pre-draft hype, he could play his way into the conversation.

NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Betting History

Since the AP started handing out the award in 1998, 15 quarterbacks, one running back, one tight end, and three wide receivers have won it. Nine of the last 12 were returning from severe injuries. As for the other three:

  • Ryan Tannehill (2019): His career appeared to be over when the Dolphins traded him to the Titans. But once he got the chance to play, he made the most of the opportunity and resurrected his career.
  • Philip Rivers (2013): Rivers had played poorly the two seasons prior to the year he won but regained his Pro Bowl form and had a stellar year in ’13.
  • Michael Vick (2010): Vick took over as the starter for most of the 2010 season and had one of the best statistical years of his career (the only one with a 100 rating).

The table contains a list of the CPOY winners dating back to 1998 (odds via

Year Player Position Team Preseason Odds
2021 Joe Burrow Quarterback Cincinnati Bengals +800
2020 Alex Smith Quarterback Washington Football Team +300
2019 Ryan Tannehill Quarterback Tennessee Titans Not Listed
2018 Andrew Luck Quarterback Indianapolis Colts +450
2017 Keenan Allen Wide Receiver Los Angeles Chargers +900
2016 Jordy Nelson Wide Receiver Green Bay Packers +600
2015 Eric Berry Safety Kansas City Chiefs +500
2014 Rob Gronkowski Tight End New England Patriots +1000
2013 Philip Rivers Quarterback San Diego Chargers NA
2012 Peyton Manning Quarterback Denver Broncos NA
2011 Matthew Stafford Quarterback Detroit Lions NA
2010 Michael Vick Quarterback Philadelphia Eagles NA
2009 Tom Brady Quarterback New England Patriots NA
2008 Chad Pennington Quarterback Miami Dolphins NA
2007 Greg Ellis Defensive End Dallas Cowboys NA
2006 Chad Pennington Quarterback New York Jets NA
2005 Teddy Bruschi and Steve Smith Jr. Linebacker / Wide Receiver New England Patriots / Carolina Panthers NA
2004 Drew Brees Quarterback San Diego Chargers NA
2003 Jon Kitna Quarterback Cincinnati Bengals NA
2002 Tommy Maddux Quarterback Pittsburgh Steelers NA
2001 Garrison Hearst Running Back San Francisco 49ers NA
2000 Joe Johnson Defensive End New Orleans Saints NA
1999 Bryant Young Defensive Tackle San Francisco 49ers NA
1998 Doug Flutie Quarterback Buffalo Bills NA

How To Bet On NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

  • Choose a sportsbook to place your bet with. Most states with legal sports betting have numerous options. Along with looking for the book with the best odds for your wager, pay attention to the book’s welcome offer.
  • Register for an online account and make your first deposit. When you register, enter the promo code for the welcome bonus (if required).
  • Navigate to the NFL section of the app/webpage and locate the odds for CPOY.
  • Find the player you are interested in betting on and click on his name. When the betting slip appears, enter how much you want to bet in the appropriate spot.
  • Click on ‘place bet.’

How to Read NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Betting Odds

Odds can be tricky to understand if you do not know what you are looking at. They can be expressed in various forms, including decimal, fraction, or American (+/-). Books in the U.S. typically list American odds. Some sportsbooks allow you to select how you want the odds listed.

If the book does not list them with American odds, you can convert them using our odds converter.

Anything with -100 odds or shorter (i.e., -200…) has at least a 50 percent implied probability of winning. Odds of +100 or longer (i.e., +200…) imply no more than a 50 percent chance of winning.

For example, Derrick Henry’s odds at DraftKings are +300. Using the odds converter, we can see that his odds translate into ‘3/1’ or an implied probability of 25 percent. If he dominates the competition for the first half of the season, his odds could drop to -300. Should that happen, his implied probability would be 75 percent.

When the odds are positive, bettors will win that number if they bet $100. So, if you bet $100 on Henry now and he wins, you win $300. But if you wait and don’t bet on him until they are -300, you win a lot less. When the odds are negative, the number listed is how much you have to bet to win $100. At -300, you need to risk $300 to win $100

Where to Bet on NFL Comeback Player Of The Year

Sports betting is legal, either online, at retail, or both, in the following states/ locales: New York, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Colorado, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Iowa, Indiana, Nevada, West Virginia, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Oregon, Montana, Arizona, Wyoming, Connecticut, Louisiana, and Ontario.

There are also some states where you can bet in-person at retail sportsbooks. These states include Arkansas, Delaware, Mississippi, New Mexico, North Carolina, South Dakota, Maryland, Wisconsin, and Washington.

Best Promo Codes for NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds Betting

The following table contains the welcome bonus offers for several major sportsbooks:

NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds — FAQs

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