- Bitcoin price has crashed 15% since breaching a shorter bear flag pattern.
- Ethereum price tags the $1,305 target after nosediving 28% over the last four days.
- Ripple price sheds 16% as it breaks out of a bearish pennant, forecasting a $0.221 target.
Bitcoin price has crashed quite a bit over the weekend, taking Ethereum, Ripple and other altcoins with it. The cause of this brutal market downswing seems to be two-fold – fears around the solvency of the Celsius Network and the CPI announcement.
Celsius is a crypto-based lender and major holder of Staked Ethereum (stETH), which is Ethereum staked on the Lido platform, which is a 1:1 backed peg of ETH. Due to sudden redemptions, the peg between stETH and ETH has started to decouple significantly.
The imbalance is now causing a bank run on Celsius Network. While this is one background factor destabilizing markets, the other is the CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) announcement on June 10, which is triggering a crash over the weekend and causing markets to cascade.
Earlier today, Celsius Network announced that it will be pausing all withdrawals, swaps, and transfers between accounts. This announcement has caused many to speculate about what this might really mean for Celsius.
Cobie, the host of the UpOnly podcast tweeted,
I guess now you have to hope that they’re not bankrupt but they just put too much of customer funds into illiquid/locked places — eg on beacon chain
Then maybe they can wait it out and pay users back
But if they lost everything then gg I guess
— Cobie (@cobie) June 13, 2022
Bitcoin price manifests the worst
Bitcoin price has crashed 17% since June 10 after opening at $30,0082. This downswing has pushed BTC to breach the smaller bear flag pattern, which forecasts a 30% crash to $20,560. Interestingly, the same chart also shows that the larger bear flag projects a similar target of $20,002.
While the crash seems to have paused, investors need to be cautious as a continuation could plummet BTC lower.
BTC/USD 1-day chart
Although unlikely, if Bitcoin price produces a daily candlestick close above the $52,000 level, it will create a higher high from a macro perspective and invalidate the bearish thesis. In such a case, Bitcoin price could climb higher to $60,000.
Ethereum price reaches its target
Ethereum price set a bear flag in late April and breached the lower trend line on May 4. Since then, ETH has crashed 52% to reach the forecasted target at $1,305. As the altcoin trades around this level, investors need to be patient with buying the dip or opening long positions.
This crash has breached the $1,401 weekly support level and flipped it into a resistance barrier. A continuation of the downtrend that breaks down the $1,305 level could trigger a 20% nosedive to the immediate foothold present at $1,050.
ETH/USD 1-day chart
If buyers step in and purchase ETH at a discounted price, however, there is a chance for recovery. A quick flip of the $1,401 hurdle into a support level will indicate a resurgence of bullish momentum. This development could see Ethereum price attempt a rally to $1,730.
Ripple price has a long way to go
Ripple price breached a bearish pennant, another bearish continuation pattern on June 10. This development caused the XRP price to crash 16% in the three subsequent daily candlesticks. As the remittance token trades at $0.325, the risk of a further crash lingers.
This technical formation forecasts a 42% crash to $0.221, and considering the current position, Ripple price could see a 32% drop. However, this move will not be a sudden crash due to the $0.250 and $0.302 support levels.
XRP/USD 1-day chart
While things are looking relatively less bearish for Ripple price, a recovery above $0.578 will be necessary for bulls to breathe a sigh of relief. A daily candlestick close above $0.657 will invalidate the bearish thesis by creating a higher high.